Many different twists and turns have occurred in Oklahoma’s season over the past few weeks.
Just look at the past three games. On Jan. 30, OU lost to the Nebraska Cornhuskers, who were winless in the Big 12 at the time.
One week later on Feb. 6, the Sooners down the No. 9 ranked (AP) Texas Longhorns at home after a great shooting display.
The next game, Tuesday night, the Sooners lost their first home game of the season to the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
So what does this mean for the rest of the season? Assuming that OU plays every game like they did against Tech and Nebraska, the Sooners are doomed. However, if the games are played anything close to how OU handled the Longhorns, then things are looking up.
The answer seems to lie somewhere between the two assumptions. The Sooners have seven games left; three at home and four on the road.
At Lloyd Noble Center, the Sooners have No. 9 Kansas State, Baylor and Texas A&M. While OU is no longer invincible at home, they still boast an 11-1 record at Lloyd Noble Center, which is a great record no matter where you go.
OU has such a strong home record, but Kansas State is ranked in the top 10, and the Sooners were blown out 91-60 by Baylor earlier in the year. I think it is safe to say OU will lose at least one of those games.
On the road, the Sooners face Oklahoma State, Colorado, Kansas and Texas.
The Sooners have been nothing more than awful on the road this season, but Colorado is 11-12 on the season and the game in Stillwater is a rivalry. For a best-case scenario, assume they somehow pull both out.
The Jayhawks and Longhorns are a totally different animal (no pun intended). With OU’s road tendencies, playing in two very hostile environments does not bode well. (Rock)chalk up two losses there.
While assuming the Sooners don’t have a secret weapon hiding somewhere on their roster or completely collapse, this leaves the team at 17-13 on the season, 8-8 in conference games.
If the Sooners finish strong and win multiple games in the Big 12 tournament, then they might redeem themselves. But, with the way things are going with this team, it would be foolish to try and map out the conference tournament.
In short, the Sooners could have really used those two wins against Nebraska and Tech. 19-11 looks much better than 17-13 on a tournament resume, especially when considering the 10-6 improvement over an 8-8 record in Big 12 play.
With OU entering the hardest part of its schedule, a run towards a spot in the dance seems unlikely. Not impossible, but unlikely.
Freshmen seem to be a continuous theme here. What happened to Mason-Griffin? Where did Gallon come from?
Freshman guard Tommy Mason-Griffin has been a fan favorite recently while leading the team while Willie Warren has been injured. However, Mason-Griffin had just nine points against Texas Tech and shot 3-13.
On the other hand, forward Gallon had been struggling up until his game against Tech. Gallon had 13 points and five boards in 23 minutes and was the go-to guy for much of the second half.
While both freshmen have shown flashes of brilliance and promise, neither will perform great every single game. They are simply too young.
This year’s Sooners truly are a streaky bunch. And again, anything is possible, but some of the trends and facts just do not add up to a birth in the NCAA tournament.
In better news, the team includes six freshmen, and head coach Jeff Capel has another talented recruiting class coming in this year.
Freshmen suspended indefinitely
Freshmen forward Andrew Fitzgerald and guard Steven Pledger certainly have hurt their team’s chances after being cited for petty larceny Saturday evening after the win against Texas. They are both suspended indefinitely.
Fitzgerald is a valuable big body, something OU does not have much of. He has also started several times this season and has scored in double-digits three times. Pledger is a great shooter and has produced big numbers before as well.
After only losing by one point to the Red Raiders, one can only speculate to whether things would have been different with the two in the lineup.
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